Electing America's Governors: The Politics of Executive by D. Leal

By D. Leal

Please word it is a 'Palgrave to reserve' name (PTO). inventory of this publication calls for cargo from in another country. will probably be brought to you inside 12 weeks. This publication reviews the election of yankee kingdom governors, 'an more and more very important team of political leaders', and makes comparisons with Senate and presidential elections.

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17 Green and Krasno (1988), however, suggested that when Jacobson’s data are analyzed by year, the results are unstable for both OLS and 2SLS regressions. Yearly analysis is not possible with gubernatorial data, as the number of races featuring an incumbent does not provide a sufficient dataset for regression analysis in any given election. The second-stage model, based on the Ansolabehere and Snyder (1995) and Gerber (1998) approaches, is therefore: Incumbent Vote = α ϩ β1ln(Incumbent Expenditures) ϩ β2ln(Challenger Expenditures) ϩ β3(Incumbent Primary Margin) ϩ β4(Challenger Primary Margin) ϩ β5(Number of Candidates in Incumbent Primary) ϩ β6(Number of Candidates in Challenger Primary) ϩ β7(Incumbent Scandal) ϩ β8(Incumbent Same Party as President) ϩ β9(State Party Support) ϩ β10(Challenger Former Governor) ϩ β11(Challenger Federal Office Experience) ϩ β12(Challenger Statewide Office Experience) ϩ β13(Challenger State Legislative Experience) ϩ β14(Challenger City or County Office Experience) ϩ β15(Challenger Fame/Name Recognition)ϩ ε, where α is the intercept.

5 This is certainly true for gubernatorial elections, and constituents might even hold senators responsible for the economic and social conditions within the state. Retrospective economic judgments are a simpler matter in presidential and House elections because the issue 42 ELECTING AMERICA’S GOVERNORS of identical constituencies does not have to be taken into account. The next section will discuss both the aggregate- and individual-level findings for all three types of elections. One of the curious facts in the study of elections is that the two literatures of retrospective voting and campaign finance stand so far apart.

One important question to ask at this point is whether governors have real power over their state economies. In other words, is it rational behavior for voters to blame or to credit them for economic conditions? Adams and Kenny (1989, 2), writing in reaction to Peltzman (1987), argued: The weakness of the governor as a force in state prosperity strikes us as exaggerated. Governors, because of their veto and appointive powers, have considerable power in state governments. Imperfect factor mobility associated with locational rents gives each state some latitude in setting tax rates and subsidy levels (Epple and Zelenitz 1981; Adams 1986).

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